Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2023. Traded to the Pirates in August of 2023.
Outdueled in Wednesday's loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 17, 2024
Falter (1-1) took the loss Wednesday, giving up two runs on four hits and a walk over five innings as the Pirates fell 9-1 to the Mets. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old southpaw served up a two-run homer to Starling Marte in the third inning, but he otherwise shut New York down over 73 pitches (47 strikes). Unfortunately for Pittsburgh, Luis Severino was a little bit better for the home squad. Falter has been tagged for only three runs over his last three starts and 16 innings, lowering his ERA to 4.05, but his 10:5 K:BB through 20 frames on the year highlights his limited fantasy ceiling. He lines up to make his next start at home early next week against the Brewers.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
72
Last 10 Games
72
Last 5 Games
72
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-58%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .297 166 33 6 47 11 0 10
Since 2022vs Right .258 609 111 36 146 26 3 26
2024vs Left .318 23 3 1 7 2 0 1
2024vs Right .135 56 7 4 7 1 0 2
2023vs Left .364 69 12 3 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .269 278 48 17 70 12 1 11
2022vs Left .229 74 18 2 16 4 0 3
2022vs Right .273 275 56 15 69 13 2 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-56%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.80 1.20 84.1 5 6 0 7.7 1.6 1.7
Since 2022Away 4.31 1.34 100.1 4 8 0 6.5 2.4 1.8
2024Home 0.00 0.33 6.0 0 0 0 1.5 1.5 0.0
2024Away 5.79 1.21 14.0 1 1 0 5.8 2.6 1.9
2023Home 4.85 1.18 39.0 2 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2023Away 5.83 1.63 41.2 0 6 0 5.6 2.8 2.2
2022Home 5.49 1.35 39.1 3 3 0 8.5 1.6 2.1
2022Away 2.42 1.10 44.2 3 1 0 7.5 2.0 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.50
 
K/9
3.6
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
91.1 mph
 
ERA
4.20
 
WHIP
0.93
 
BABIP
.181
 
GB/FB
0.75
 
Left On Base
62.5%
 
Swinging Strike
8.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
June 28, 2022
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
Earns first win
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 12, 2024
Falter (1-0) picked up the win in Friday's 5-2 victory over the Phillies, allowing one earned run on four hits while striking out three batters across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Holds O's to one hit over six
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 6, 2024
Falter allowed one hit and one walk while striking out one batter over six scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Orioles on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Allows six runs over four innings
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 31, 2024
Falter did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing six runs on five hits and three walks over four innings against the Marlins. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed for rotation
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 25, 2024
Manager Derek Shelton said Monday that Falter will be included in the Pirates' Opening Day rotation, Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Wins roster spot
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 25, 2024
Falter was informed Monday that he'll be included on the Opening Day roster, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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