Bailey Falter
26-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
4.05
WHIP
0.95
K
10
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
Outdueled in Wednesday's loss
Falter (1-1) took the loss Wednesday, giving up two runs on four hits and a walk over five innings as the Pirates fell 9-1 to the Mets. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old southpaw served up a two-run homer to Starling Marte in the third inning, but he otherwise shut New York down over 73 pitches (47 strikes). Unfortunately for Pittsburgh, Luis Severino was a little bit better for the home squad. Falter has been tagged for only three runs over his last three starts and 16 innings, lowering his ERA to 4.05, but his 10:5 K:BB through 20 frames on the year highlights his limited fantasy ceiling. He lines up to make his next start at home early next week against the Brewers.
The 26-year-old southpaw served up a two-run homer to Starling Marte in the third inning, but he otherwise shut New York down over 73 pitches (47 strikes). Unfortunately for Pittsburgh, Luis Severino was a little bit better for the home squad. Falter has been tagged for only three runs over his last three starts and 16 innings, lowering his ERA to 4.05, but his 10:5 K:BB through 20 frames on the year highlights his limited fantasy ceiling. He lines up to make his next start at home early next week against the Brewers.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
72
Last 10 Games
72
Last 5 Games
72
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-58%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .297 | 33 | 6 | 47 | 10 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .258 | 111 | 36 | 146 | 26 | |||
2024vs Left | .318 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .135 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | |||
2023vs Left | .364 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .269 | 48 | 17 | 70 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | .229 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .273 | 56 | 15 | 69 | 13 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-10%
ERA on Road
2024
-100%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.80 | 1.20 | 84.1 | 7.7 | 1.6 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.31 | 1.34 | 100.1 | 6.5 | 2.4 | ||||
2024Home | 0.00 | 0.33 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | ||||
2024Away | 5.79 | 1.21 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Home | 4.85 | 1.18 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.83 | 1.63 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Home | 5.49 | 1.35 | 39.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Away | 2.42 | 1.10 | 44.2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.50K/9
3.6BB/9
2.4HR/9
1.2Fastball
91.1 mphERA
4.20WHIP
0.93BABIP
.181GB/FB
0.75Left On Base
62.5%Swinging Strike
8.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
Earns first win
Falter (1-0) picked up the win in Friday's 5-2 victory over the Phillies, allowing one earned run on four hits while striking out three batters across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Holds O's to one hit over six
Falter allowed one hit and one walk while striking out one batter over six scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Orioles on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Allows six runs over four innings
Falter did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing six runs on five hits and three walks over four innings against the Marlins. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed for rotation
Manager Derek Shelton said Monday that Falter will be included in the Pirates' Opening Day rotation, Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Wins roster spot
Falter was informed Monday that he'll be included on the Opening Day roster, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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