FanDuel NBA: Saturday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Saturday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

Saturday provides us with a 10-game slate to work through. Let's get right to it!

SLATE OVERVIEW

DET (-5) vs. ORL O/U: 206

NYK (-5.5) @ NOP O/U: 214.5

IND (-3) vs. TOR O/U: 215.5

PHI (-3.5) vs. ATL O/U: 218.5

UTA (-4) @ CHI O/U: 217.5

MEM (-2) vs. MIA O/U: 217.5

MIL (-6.5) vs. SAS O/U: 224.5

GSW (-12.5) vs. OKC O/U: 220

MIN (-2.5) vs. DEN O/U: 221.5

PHO (-10) vs. CLE O/U: 215

INJURIES

IND Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring) - OUT

While not an exact replacement at Brogdon's position, Chris Duarte ($5,600) is excelling with the increased opportunity. He'll likely absorb a good bit of Brogdon's usage.

UTA Mike Conley (knee) - OUT

Jordan Clarkson ($5,100) emerges as one of my favorite value plays on the slate with Conley out. 

MEM Dillon Brooks (thigh) -OUT

Brooks' injury bears repeating, as his absence has made fantasy darlings out of Desmond Bane ($5,800) and De'Anthony Melton ($5,700).

MIL Jrue Holiday (ankle) - OUT

MIL Brook Lopez (back) - OUT

MIL Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) - OUT

MIL Bobby Portis (conditioning) - OUT

 George Hill ($3,600) will draw the start in Holiday's absence. Also, the Bucks will continue to fill the gaps by sliding their frontcourt starters over to accommodate for Lopez's absence. I like both Pat Connaughton ($4,500) and Jordan Nwora ($4,300) as other top candidates to produce in this scenario.

GSW Damion Lee (shoulder) - QUESTIONABLE

Comments from Steve Kerr usually end up being DFS hemlock, but he said that he would give Moses Moody ($3,500) some minutes if Lee can't make it.  Rostering him is a stretch, however.

ELITE PLAYERS

Nine players reside at 9k and above in the player pool, with five of them exceeding 10k or more. My two favorites at the top are familiar high-end targets Nikola Jokic ($11.000) and Stephen Curry ($10,500). Jokic will duel with Karl-Anthony Towns, a player he's had success against in the past. On the other end, Curry will take his sharpshooting skills to face the Thunder, who are surprising some but still have a long way to go defensively.

Ja Morant ($10,100) and Jimmy Butler ($9,500) square off in Memphis tonight, and for the money, I favor Butler as the cheaper and more consistent player of the two. I also like Domantas Sabonis ($9,100), who we project at well over 50 FDFP. Compare that projection to the salary, and you've got a target who should exceed 5x value easily.

EXPECTED CHALK AND CORE TARGETS

Dejounte Murray, SAS ($8,600) @ MIL

Seeing Murray here again is no big surprise. We've already endorsed him three times over the first two weeks, and he continues to get high marks despite the steady salary increase. His rebound totals are unrivaled among point guards, and it puts him in the running for triple-doubles on a nightly basis. He also won't have to deal with an elite defender on the other end, as Jrue Holiday will remain sidelined.

Deandre Ayton, PHO ($7,000) vs. CLE

When a guy at 7k grabs 21 boards in a game, you've got to give him some love. He enjoyed one of the best games of his career against the Kings. While you can't expect a repeat, he stands to benefit as the top rebounder in the game against Cleveland, who has some inconsistencies and inexperience up front.

Fred VanVleet, TOR ($8,200) @ IND

It's time to give some love to VanVleet in what I think is a solid win opportunity for the Raptors. Without Malcolm Brogdon, Indiana's backcourt will struggle, and you don't want a perimeter beast like VanVleet to get loose for too long. He will sometimes burn you with a cold shooting night, but his shot volume is so high, he'll still net enough points to be relevant while throwing in some assists and rebounds as well.

Khris Middleton, MIL ($8,100) vs. SAS

Middleton moves to PF in the situation I mentioned above while Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) takes up residence at the five. I didn't give Giannis an elite endorsement, but he's a nightly consideration. I really like Middleton at the four, however. His rebounding floor shoots up at the position, and he's also draining more high-percentage shots. While you lose a bit of his perimeter play, he's still hovering around 40 FDFP since making this injury-based shift.

Also consider: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC ($7,200) @ GSW, Michael Porter, DEN ($6,700) @ MIN, Anthony Edwards, MIN ($8,000) vs. DEN

VALUE PLAYS

There are some excellent value targets in the injury section, but these other underpriced players are worth a look.

Mo Bamba, ORL ($6,400) @ DET

We are projecting Bamba with 37 FDFP tonight, and he has a shot at going higher against Detroit. Bamba is averaging a nightly double-double and should have a relatively easy time repeating that kind of output against Isaiah Stewart.

Scottie Barnes, TOR ($6,000) @ IND

While this favorable matchup doesn't set up as well for Barnes, I'm interested to see how Barnes will handle frontcourt threats like Sabonis and Myles Turner as they try to prop up the Pacers' offense. Indiana will be missing their primary facilitator, and while that doesn't affect their defensive play, it could help Barnes make some stops. He could also find better positioning in the paint to prevent put-backs by Sabonis and Turner, who will be doing more work at the top of the key in this contest.

Franz Wagner, ORL ($5,000) @ DET

I would typically not hammer a game with such a low total, but I think Wagner's salary is too good to ignore. Although he regressed against Toronto, he's crushed salary value in three of his first six games. It looks like Jerami Grant will return tonight, but he'll probably be slowed by his recent injury, making tonight an exploitable spot for Wagner.

Also consider: Jae Crowder, PHO ($4,200) vs, CLE, Luguentz Dort, OKC ($4,900) @ GSW

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NBA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NBA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
Fantasy Basketball Podcast: Waiver Wire Week 16, Friday DFS and Latest News
Fantasy Basketball Podcast: Waiver Wire Week 16, Friday DFS and Latest News
WynnBET Sportsbook: Friday NBA Best Bets
WynnBET Sportsbook: Friday NBA Best Bets
Around the Association: 76ers Handle LeBron-less Lakers, Splash Bros Shine
Around the Association: 76ers Handle LeBron-less Lakers, Splash Bros Shine
NBA Waiver Wire: Top Fantasy Adds For A Busy Week 16
NBA Waiver Wire: Top Fantasy Adds For A Busy Week 16
FanDuel NBA: Friday Value Plays
FanDuel NBA: Friday Value Plays
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Friday Picks
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Friday Picks